The recent decline in swap and treasury yields, combined with CMBS spread compression, has created a very attractive situation for borrowers of CMBS product. In fact, pricing on full leverage (75% LTV) loans for bread and butter CMBS product has decreased significantly since the start of the year.
As a reminder, the interest rate a borrower is charged on a CMBS loan is calculated by adding the risk-pricing premium, or "spread", to a benchmark index, which is typically tied to Treasury Bills or Swaps. Specifically, the benchmark in CMBS is typically the higher of the: (1) like term Treasury bond, or (2) like term Swap Side offering. These instruments trade daily and can be found very easily on the Internet.
Most CMBS loans offer a 10 Year Fixed rate, and today loan are typically pricing over the 10 Year Swap. The graph below illustrates how the 10-Year swap yield has been pricing over the past 30 days.
The second component of rate - the lender's spread premium - is a fuzzier concept. Spread generally accounts for perceived risks in the macro markets, as well as micro factors specific to the loan in question. These micro considerations include property type, location, and borrower strength, as well as economic factors such as underwritten leverage, DSCR, and debt yield, among others.
With respect to pricing, there exists a strong correlation between how individual loans "price" and the pricing of CMBS bonds in the market. The graph below illustrates spread movement on CMBS bond spreads over the past several years, and clearly shows that 2016 was not on overly competitive year for CMBS product.
It is evident from the graph above that spreads on CMBS product have "come in" significantly since their peak around this last year, just 12 short months ago.
CMBS lenders remain among the most aggressive and ingenious on Wall Street, which affords certain benefits to borrowers that are difficult to duplicate. The following outlines deal points in CMBS that borrowers typically find attractive:
CMBS lenders will readily allow for "cash out." This means borrowers with a lot of equity in their deals can access that capital via a refinance on a tax neutral basis, and put that capital to work.
CMBS lenders are willing to understand "hairy" deals, or those with a "storied" history related to the property, borrower, or market. This includes opportunities in secondary and even sometimes tertiary markets.
If you are a self-storage investor with a long-term hold strategy, now is the time to act. Interest rates on long-term CMBS debt are historically attractive, and lenders are aggressively seeking deals. Compression in CMBS spreads and underlying swaps is favorable for borrowers, and lenders are currently offering 10 year, fixed rate, non-recourse money in the mid 4% range.
Based on recent comments and actions from the Fed, going forward you can expect volatility and a rise in rates. Current market conditions present an excellent opportunity for investors to take final advantage of the opportunity handed to you by today's economy. Don't be passive and take unnecessary risk... make the safe bet and enjoy your winning hand for years to come.
The BSC Group has been voted Best of Business - Finance for six years running by the readers of Inside Self-Storage.